Some Additional Evidence that Suggests Fear Levels May Have Recently Become too High

More on the sentiment side of things today. The chart below shows the proportion of Rydex assets that sit in money market funds as vs. total assets at the fund family. The higher the %, the more people are fearful…...

Member only content: Login to view or Register

Did Sentiment Get Too Bearish, Too Quickly Yet Again?

Had struggled to find anything that was suggestive of excess bearishness recently until stumbling across this last night, which I pulled from SentimenTrader. The chart below shows the net long or short position that Hulbert Financial Digest newsletter writings are…...

Member only content: Login to view or Register

Downside in Grains Set to Accelerate?

As you know, we’ve been reasonably bearish on this group dating back to July, with most of that focus being on corn, as these posts here and here highlight for background. In fact, on August 10, when corn was 7% higher,…...

Member only content: Login to view or Register

Current Conditions in AAII Sentiment Survey Have Been Fulfilled only Eight Other Times Since 1987

Always struggle to find much value in the AAII Sentiment Survey data and commentary. That said, the conditions in this week’s survey data have been fulfilled only eight other times in history. Here are the conditions being filtered upon –…...

Member only content: Login to view or Register