LONG-TERM RELATIVE RATIO CHARTS – Industrial SECTOR

Beginning with this post I began showing the relative ratios of all US equity industries vs. the SPX across their entire history.  Posts will be grouped by sector, and each sector post will show all the relative sub-industries within it.  I’ve generally tried to only…

LONG-TERM RELATIVE RATIO CHARTS – Healthcare Sector

Beginning with this post I began showing the relative ratios of all US equity industries vs. the SPX across their entire history.  Posts will be grouped by sector, and each sector post will show all the relative sub-industries within it.  I’ve generally tried to only…

LONG-TERM RELATIVE RATIO CHARTS – Energy SECTOR

Beginning with this post I began showing the relative ratios of all US equity industries vs. the SPX across their entire history.  Posts will be grouped by sector, and each sector post will show all the relative sub-industries within it.  I’ve generally tried to only…...

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LONG-TERM RELATIVE RATIO CHARTS – Staples SECTOR

Beginning with this post I began showing the relative ratios of all US equity industries vs. the SPX across their entire history.  Posts will be grouped by sector, and each sector post will show all the relative sub-industries within it.  I’ve generally tried…...

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Long-Term Relative Ratio Charts - Consumer Sector

Beginning with this post I aim to show the relative ratios of all US equity industries vs. the SPX across their entire history.  Posts will be grouped by sector, and each sector post will show all the relative sub-industries within…...

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BTC Price VOL at an All-Time Low

Below I plot the trailing two month (60 days given weekend trading) price VOL [(max close-min close)/average close] of BTC. Historically, VOL always bottomed b/t 10%-15% whereas the current print of 8.9% is the tightest on record dating back to…...

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Equity Gains Since 2009 Lows Have Few Historical Precedents

It’s been 117 months since the Dow bottomed on a monthly closing basis in March 2009 at ~7K.  Since then it’s rallied ~260%. There are essentially only four precedents for this magnitude of rally over a trailing 117 month period…...

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Symmetry in Palladium's Secular Cycles

Below I analog two separate palladium secular cycles, one from 1980-2001 and the other from 2001-current. Note the high degree of historical symmetry b/t these two cycles. At the moment, palladium is clearing its 2001 secular highs at the 100%…...

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Historically Oversold Gold

Gold peaked a little over seven years ago in Apr-11. If we construct a simple 7-yr RoC chart below we find that as of Aug-18’s swing low, that RoC stood at -34%, tied with Mar-01’s level and slightly better than -39%…...

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Spread Between USD Gains & EM/SPX Losses at Historic Extremes

As of month-end Sep-18, the USD (via DXY) had appreciated 21% over the trailing seven years while the ratio of EM equities vs. the SPX had declined 54% (seven years ago is where USD bottoms, commodities and EM/SPX generally peak).  This…...

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