Since Credit “Leads”, What’s the Macro Message Coming From Riskier Areas of the Credit Universe?
If credit leads and equity confirms, the message riskier areas of the credit universe are currently sending is far different from the one they were sending through much of 2007 and early 2008 as they deteriorated significantly in front of equity…...
SPX Breaking Out? Going to Target New All-Time Highs?
Any repeating patterns this summer vs. last fall when the SPX broke out of a choppy consolidation zone following the August mini-crash? Also, any similarities between the rally off the 1987 crash lows and the rally off last August’s mini-crash…...
After Losing 2/3 of its Value, is There an Emerging Set-up in Cotton?
The chart below shows that the decline thus far off Cotton’s peak price in 2011 is among the worst for a former bubble. At this juncture (~+80 weeks after peak prices) only Silver’s decline off its 1980 top was worse. At the…...