Thin Red Line

Thin Red Line

Forget everything I’ve said about the Nikkei over the past 12-18 months; all the words, analogs and postulations. Instead, focus on the thin red resistance line (1) in the chart below.  It is the only thing that matters to the…...

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US Bond Price Downside: Time to Ride the Second Wave?

US Bond Price Downside: Time to Ride the Second Wave?

We began espousing the idea that bonds had peaked on a secular and cyclical basis in spring 2013.  While it’s been very fashionable to hold such a view for many, many years now (hyperinflation has been imminent since QE1 in…...

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INTC Breaking ~14 Yr Resistance, to Accelerate Outperformance of Semis

INTC Breaking ~14 Yr Resistance, to Accelerate Outperformance of Semis

In the chart below INTC is breaking above ~14 year resistance line (1). Assuming the week’s gains hold this likely implies that the semi group outperforms on an absolute and relative basis vs. the broader market in accelerated fashion over…...

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IBEX to Outperform SPX

IBEX to Outperform SPX

In the chart below the ratio of the IBEX vs. SPX is attempting to break above long-term resistance line (1). Look at how well-behaved the ratio b/t these two assets has been across this line historically. Also note the precipitous…...

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