Analog Update

Analog Update

Below is a quick update to our recent pivot point analog post on the Nikkei a few weeks ago in which we outlined our belief that the BoJ was unlikely to expand the scope of its QE program at its next…...

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Chinese Stock Rally Has Outstripped Even Our Lofty Expectations from Summer 2013

Chinese Stock Rally Has Outstripped Even Our Lofty Expectations from Summer 2013

Beginning with this piece from July 2013 in which we juxtaposed our bullish view on the prospects for Chinese equities with Barron’s call for an imminent credit crisis there,  I’d like to believe my work on the region in recent times has…...

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4/30 or 5/21?

4/30 or 5/21?

The BoJ has upcoming monetary policy meetings/announcements as follows. I consider the latter schedule very important v-a-v our ongoing assessment of the Nikkei’s progress relative to our 6 mo RoC framework.  Specifically, I find the 4/30 and 5/21 policy dates…...

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Romney was Right About Everything - Bracketology Edition

Romney was Right About Everything – Bracketology Edition

If anybody watched the 2012 presidential debates they’ll remember the laps Romney ran around Obama as well as his prescience on many geopolitical items that have since come to fruition (the likelihood of Russian aggression , for instance, an idea Obama condescendingly mocked…

U.S. Equity VOL Set to Decline

U.S. Equity VOL Set to Decline

In the chart below VIX futures are breaking down from a ~one-year flag pattern formed b/t lines (1) and (2) on a daily basis.  Presumably, this implies U.S.-based equity VOL is set to fall over the near to intermediate-term. At…...

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