Time Spent Waiting
It’s been approximately five months since we became ardent supporters of the idea that the Nikkei, following its initial sprint rally from fall 2012 into its May 2013 peak at 16K (an initial rally which we foresaw well before anybody…...
Duration & Size Matter
As of right now the SPX has gone 652 days and has rallied 72% without witnessing at least a 10% correction. This move dates back to the summer/fall 2011 mini-crash lows. In terms of duration/magnitude those represent 96th/89th percentile events…...
Identical Patterns
I’ve been told by a user of the site I’m not allowed to pen any additional posts about TIVO as I’ve been far too bullish for far too long on a name that has yet to reflect any of what…...
Risk Unwind
I had a post earlier today suggesting exposure to risk assets has been in the process of being unwound, but one need look deeper than large macro indices such as the DJI/SPX to see evidence thereof. I present the ratio…...
Whistling Past the Graveyard?
I’ve shown an analog chart many times in the past ~month or so detailing historical examples of how the DJI has traded after it has managed to close a month at least 32% above its 48 month MA for the…...
Juicy Part of Growth Stock Decline?
Is likely beginning, +/- any near-term, last ditch attempts to head-fake them higher for better institutional exit points. Such is the suggested view to take based on the technical set-ups of the stocks below, all of which have been go-go…...
Caveat Emptor
One can spend their time doing more value-added things than plotting the technicals of major-market indices given how prone to failure I believe them to be. That being said, when such technicals accord with more value-additive analog work, their corroborating…...
Lower and then Higher (Significantly)
I started the year with a very bullish bias and believed the presence of robust analytics supported such a disposition. However, those analytics were fairly binomial with respect to the timing of their expected bullish outcome – they necessitated a…...
Samesies
I quote Michael Cera in Superbad in this post’s subject line because the charts below are the same pattern. One is ARRS and the other is TIVO. Both are bullish ascending triangles and both share the same date axis and…...
Market’s Respect for Trend Has But Seven Historical Precedents
As of last week the Wilshire 5K closed above its 30 week MA for the 70th consecutive week dating back to 11/25/2012. That’s an incredible feat of “trending”, if ever there was an obvious representation of what unbridled bull market…...