Shiller P/E Suggests Any Additional Valuation Expansion Engineered by Fed Could Result in a Parabolic Move Higher for Equities
In the chart below note that the Shiller P/E currently stands at a line of demarcation. Historically, any further expansion in SPX valuations has coincided with parabolic moves higher and/or bubbles including the late 20s, mid 90s and the 2002-2007 global…...
Decade+ Relative Strength Break-Out in This Industry
The first chart below highlights the ratio of the DJ Home Furnishings Index vs. SPX. Note the break-out above falling resistance this past week which had been in place for over a decade and had defined this industry’s inexorable under-performance…...
A Perennially Poor Market Timing Tool, Why is the Shiller P/E Ratio Critical all of a Sudden?
Take a look at the rolling 10 year average P/E ratio on the SPX below. It current stands at ~22.5x. What do you notice? Why has this level been so important in the context of history? Why is it that…...
This Stock Sure Does Look a Lot Like AAPL…right before it Fell 30%
We’re on bubble alert. In the chart below we plot AAPL on a non-log basis over the long-term to highlight its parabolic ramp higher at (A), which began in 2012, presumably what was its “end game” move higher into an…