SPX about to Bottom and Rally Sustainably?
According to SentimenTrader even though the SPX was down for a fifth straight day yesterday the VIX was only up ~7.7% over the same period. Dating back to 1990 when the SPX is down for five straight days and the…...
Charting RIMM’s Recent 50% Drop / The Power of Technicals (Part 2)
Starting now, we’re going to begin a series that shows recurring technical set-ups that offer material profit opportunities in compressed periods of time. In other words, great reward/risk trades. We’ll present these opportunities to folks subscribing to the premium / password-protected content…
Corn Update re: Yesterday’s Post – Is this Week of 7/9/88?
Yesterday we noted Corn’s recent price action had registered a 99th percentile event last week dating back to 1960 (something that had happened only 6 other times in history). We won’t rehash the details as you can read them here…....
Corn Just Registered a 99th Percentile Event Dating back to 1960; Trading Opportunity at Hand?
Corn futures have now gapped open at least +1.50% vs. their prior week close in four of the past five weeks (i.e., at least 80% of time). Including this week’s signal, this has happened a mere seven times dating back…...
Price Action Suggests Gold Miners in a Down-Trend/Bear Market; Next Stop ~15%-20% Lower?
There aren’t many places to hide these days. Short of bonds, the USD, staples, utilities and bio-techs, it’s tough to find favorable price action in much of anything. This is true too for the Gold Miners Index, presented on a monthly…...
More Analysis Around the Potential for a Greek Exit / Drachma Reintroduction
A short while back we ran some detailed analysis on historical currency devaluation episodes and suggested that should Greece exit the Euro and reintroduce the Drachma, the time to buy Greek equities on a nominal basis would be at the time of…...
Outcomes for Equities Here & Contingency Planning for Each Potential Set-Up
I think there are two potential outcomes here: 1) Per the first chart below – the SPX daily – there’s a chance that the move off the late May / early June lows of ~1,280 and the choppy consolidation that then…...
Ratio of 10 Yr vs. 30 Yr UST Price at an Important Juncture for Future Direction of Equities
The attached shows that the ratio of the 10 Yr vs. 30 Yr UST price is hitting trend-line support that has been in place since 1986. The first point to make is that it is typically at this line where 10…...
Based on the Average Historical Outcome, this Very Reliable Indicator Suggests SPX ~1,550 by October
On October 3, 2011 when the SPX closed at 1,100, investors in the Rydex family of funds had nearly $1.60 invested in money market fund vehicles for every $1.00 invested in long or sector-based equity mutual funds. In effect, cash balances…...
Greek Equities Just Rallied 18%, Now What (How to Play a Euro Exit, if it Happens)?
Last week, Greek equities managed a single week, 18% rally off their lows from the previous week. NBG was even more impressive, up 50%. Who could have predicted such a massive rebound? Prices could have. As the chart below suggests,…...