Systematic Models Signaling Long or Short Right Here?

Close, but no cigar on the short signal. Only 9% in incremental complacency and we’ll get there on the systematic model. Probably down to about two-four trading days in terms of time. After that, we need to see volatility (choppy…...

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Defining Alpha: Euro Financials Have Outperformed U.S. Ones by 9% Since We Suggested the Possibility on 5/31

Defining Alpha: Euro Financials Have Outperformed U.S. Ones by 9% Since We Suggested the Possibility on 5/31

All the way back on 5/31 we highlighted the potential for European financials to begin outperforming their U.S. counterparts, with this chart justifying the rational in that post. In that post we commented as follows: Ostensibly, such out-performance (of Euro…

GME's Business Model and Stock Price Appear to be in Terminal Decline

GME’s Business Model and Stock Price Appear to be in Terminal Decline

We’ll limit the commentary in this post as our thoughts are clearly outlined in the chart below (which we produced yesterday – GME reported EPS this morning), but broadly speaking, we think the prospects for this company’s business model and…

Despite Potential for Longer-Term Declines, 10 and 30 Yr UST Prices Approaching Near-Term Support and Could Bounce

Despite Potential for Longer-Term Declines, 10 and 30 Yr UST Prices Approaching Near-Term Support and Could Bounce

We made the case a month ago┬áthat the secular bond bull in USTs was likely nearing its end. Since then, yields on the 10 Yr have risen 25%, as we pointed out yesterday. As the monthly charts of 10 and…