Are YHOO’s Weaknesses Now Its Strengths?
We’ve mentioned YHOO bullishly on the site two times in recent months. Here, we noted YHOO was likely to grow closer with AAPL over time given the combination of the latter’s disdain for GOOG and flop in Maps on its…
Analog & Systematic Model Updates
The chart below shows our 4th/5th consecutive annual gain analog updated for Friday’s closing value on the Dow. At its intra-day low on Friday the Dow had corrected ~830 bps off its mid-September high of 13,600 and at its closing…...
How Far Might AAPL Fall from its Once Mighty Tree?
We’ve been bearish on this name for some time now and noted the following in our last post about it on October 6 when it stood at $658: “…we view the technical set-up in the stock as being as precarious…
Despair in Semi Space Creating Short-Term Opportunities
Have noted the potential upside in an AMD / INTC pair trade in the past right here. Initial thought was to put a 10% stop on that trade, long AMD and short INTC. Nearly immediately after putting it on we…...
Correlation vs. Causation – Why Has This Industry’s Relative Strength Been So Dependent on the USD Since 2000?
The chart below plots the ratio of the the S&P500 Food Retail Index vs. the SPX since 2000 in black. In green, it also plots the path of the USD over the same period. Why are these two items so…...
Some Key Risk-On Assets Reaching Support?
SPX, AAPL and Euro all approaching some type of relevant support. I find the combination of all of these approaching support levels interesting in the context of our analog work which suggests we should expect a near-term bottom in equities…...
Two-Month, 450 bps Sell-off in the SPX Apparently Now Enough to Ring the “Crash” Sirens?
We’re once again seeing notable calls or premonitions for some type of impending market crash. Tonight, ZeroHedge trots out such a call with the use of some analogs, apparently by way of Bloomberg and Citi. We are also on the…
Updating Our Downside Targets
Our assumed downside target of ~1,360-1,370 is quickly approaching per line (1) support and analog support against the 1988-1989 4th/5th consecutive annual gain moves. We would begin to slowly raise net long positions in equity indices as this level approaches…...
Defense Out-Performance Thesis Yielding More Fruit Post-Election
Like TASR, SWHC was one of the names highlighted in our original defense industry out-performance thesis. We didn’t single it out as a focus name like TASR as it had already had a monster run and was approaching long-term resistance…...
Long CREE / Short PANL Spread Trade Now Up 45% in Two Months; Any Juice Left in the Squeeze?
Updating this trade given yesterday and today’s big decline in PANL post EPS. The technical set-up we highlighted on 9/27 appears to be playing out as hoped for. Though the ratio is now reaching an area of support confluence in…...