This Stock is Successfully Re-Testing a Previous Bullish Break-Out
On 2/23/15 in this post we highlighted the very bullish chart pattern on IPGP and suggested initiating a long in the name. At the time of the latter post we noted the name was over-extended following its break-out from a…...
Duration & Size Matter: Part 2 (And Why the Revenant May Truly be Dead)
Nearly 18 months ago, on 5/9/14, we noted the SPX had gone 652 days and had rallied 72% without at least a 10% correction, with that stretch dating back to the summer/fall 2011 mini-crash lows. We went on to note…...
SPX Close > 2,050 in October Would be Bullish
As of today 2,050 is the SPX’s 12 mo MA. August’s sell-off and September’s continuing remnants of VOL from the previous month resulted in the SPX closing below its 12 mo MA for those two consecutive months after having closed…...
MCD Hits Key Resistance
There have been some previous questions on MCD re: chart pattern and set-up, so with this morning’s gains, I figured I’d take another look and update my thoughts. In response to previous questions I’ve answered by suggesting the chart looked decent,…...
How’s It Going Down?
As I ponder where the world stands from a macro/market cycle standpoint I’m reminded of one of my favorite rappers in the halcyon years of being a teenager in rural Corry, PA, DMX, and the best track that came off his debut album, It’s…...
Fake Bear Market?
Yesterday we highlighted some NYSE 52 week data that suggested the possibility that U.S. equities were deeply oversold and that the August “shock” was so abrupt and severe that those characteristics made it more emblematic of a “fake” bear market than…...
NYSE New High Data May Be Signaling Equities within Striking Distance of Durable Low
While our call for an August “shock” was spot on, thus far our calls for additional downside, here and here, have failed to materialize. That doesn’t mean the 8/24 shock low won’t be re-tested. Volatile down-drafts such as that seen…...
Crash Sequence?
Our case(s) for global equity weakness have been laid out in depth dating back to the third week of July beginning with EMs and then moving on to domestic/US. The following posts highlighted our attempt to build a foundation of work for that…...
Nikkei Back Above Critical Support
On the 60 min chart of USD-denominated Nikkei futures below, the index can be seen to have reclaimed critical support line (1) as of the close of trading yesterday. Upside has continued this AM to solidify that move. Line (1)…...
Equities Will Surpise if Downside Ends Here
I will be very surprised if U.S. equities fail to register new lows in the coming days, despite the consensus view to the contrary. In addition to the logic we laid out in our last post explaining why, below we…...