Count the Similarities
As we have highlighted innumerable times on this site over the past six months in the “cycles” category, the similarities b/t the current cycle and where we are in that cycle are incredibly similar to the late 20s and mid…...
Random Long Opportunity of the Day
In the chart below SIGA is caught b/t a very long-term triangle/flag pattern formed by lines (1) and (2). At the same time, it is being held up in the nearer-term by line (3) support. See the inset for technical…...
Chart Dump of 11 Long Opportunities
Presented below are 11 different long opportunities, all of which are part of the semiconductor sector. For background on our bullish view on this sector, please see this recent piece. If one has the available will and capital, I’d look…...
Reflections on Lines in the Sand
All the way back on May 28 last year I put up a post titled “Where Might U.S. Equities Finally Encounter a Material Pull-Back?“. The Dow stood at ~15,300 at the time, or ~700 bps below its closing high last…...
Past Six Years of Chinese Malaise Nearly Unprecedented
We made a highly out of consensus call on 7/2/13 suggesting Chinese equities were at a major low. This call was concurrent with Barron’s front page story calling for a renewed credit crisis in the country. That call proved incredibly…...
The Next Craze in Alternative Energy?
Fuel cell stocks have done nothing for the better part of two decades, save for the massive run they had in the latter stages of the 90s-era tech boom, perceived as a similar bastion of innovation that was imminently to…...
Chart Dump of Nine Long Opportunities
There are nine long opportunities in the chart package below. They cover a broad array of industries including gaming, homebuilders, shipping and medical equipment. In one form or another, we’ve liked each of these industries at one point or another…...
This Works
On 6/17 I indicated I liked the publishing industry as a source of alpha/out-performance. Fundamentally, this post was prompted by the 6/13 announcement that GCI would acquire BLC for a 30% premium and that this deal likely portended additional consolidation…...
Fair Value for the 10 Yr?
Risk-free, 10 Yr UST rates DO influence pricing on Aaa-rated corporate issues. As such, the Fed’s bond buying program of government securities has invariably pushed yields on Aaa-rated issues lower than they would be ex the Fed’s influence, resulting in…...
NBD
No big deal, but the Nikkei is currently pressing up against 24-year resistance line (1) in the chart below. I’ll merely point out that the index has not been above this resistance line since 1989, or coming off its all-time…...