More on the USD and Related Assets
Anybody find it ironic that the USD suggests the following… While the silver analog suggests this…? and the AMEX Gold Bugs Index is doing this…?...
This Beleaguered Industry Just Broke out From a Bullish Descending Wedge Pattern
The chart below plots the Guggenheim Solar ETF (TAN). At its recent lows it was trading at a mere 5% of its all-time high prices in 2008. I’m not attempting to make a compelling fundamental thesis in this post detailing…...
Analog Update: You Can’t Stop this Bull, You can Only Hope to Contain it
Ridiculous title aside (which is a vague reference to the phrase I heard over and over again listening to commentators do play-by-play for the greatest athlete of all time growing up as a kid), could you ask for a better road…...
Where Next For Interest Rates?
First off, we plot the 10 year interest rate below. Very nice and tight consolidation pattern that’s taken place along lines (1)-(3) that looks very close to ending. A break above line (1) and rates could shoot aggressively higher over…...
If Silver Was a Bubble and 2011 Marked the Top, This is Where the Second Wave of Selling Likely Begins
It’s been a long time since we’ve done any work on silver or precious metals for that matter. There just haven’t been many interesting technical set-ups to speak of one way or the other. However, that seems to have changed…...
Analog Update
Per my email this morning about only giving this market a day or two worth of leash before giving up and turning structurally bearish, the analogs call for an insane launch higher, basically begining in and around this week. As…...
CFNAI Suggests the Fed Has Destroyed the Market’s Discounting Mechanism Over Past Decade with Pay-Back Being Increased Volatility
Stepping away from the “only prices matter” meme for a second to highlight some more work on the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI). Historically, when the rolling 3 month average of this index hits and/or dips below a reading…...
Two-Month, 450 bps Sell-off in the SPX Apparently Now Enough to Ring the “Crash” Sirens?
We’re once again seeing notable calls or premonitions for some type of impending market crash. Tonight, ZeroHedge trots out such a call with the use of some analogs, apparently by way of Bloomberg and Citi. We are also on the…
Updating Our Downside Targets
Our assumed downside target of ~1,360-1,370 is quickly approaching per line (1) support and analog support against the 1988-1989 4th/5th consecutive annual gain moves. We would begin to slowly raise net long positions in equity indices as this level approaches…...