Relative to Average Path other Assets Have Taken from Bubble Tops, Homebuilders, Despite 135% Rally, Remain Under-Valued

At the end of March 2012 I noted homebuilders appeared very under-valued vs. other bubbles at this juncture of their bubble peak price. I presented the chart below to justify this. Since that original post, the S&P Homebuilder Index has…...

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10 & 30 Yr UST Prices Continue to Battle Long-Term Resistance; Analog to Japan Suggests Days of Yield Declines Near an End

The first charts below include 10 and 30 Yr UST prices. With their strong recent performance, both securities are battling long-term channel resistance dating back 27 years. Historically, per the red shades, this resistance has resulted in periods of declining…...

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This Week’s Price Action in SPX Rare in Context of History (and Very Intermediate-Term Bullish Should History Hold)

This week the SPX was down every single day Monday-Thursday and then wiped out the entirety of those losses on Friday. This has happened only four other times in history dating back to 1928. The other days were 10/26/56, 11/15/57,…...

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Repeating Fundamental & Technical Patterns in India/Bombay Sensex Suggesting a New Up Leg in EM Secular Growth Phase?

Coming into 2012 we figured the year would be up or down big given we had just finished a third straight up year in what was ostensibly a secular bear market, which had happened only one other time in 100…...

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SPX about to Bottom and Rally Sustainably?

According to SentimenTrader even though the SPX was down for a fifth straight day yesterday the VIX was only up ~7.7% over the same period. Dating back to 1990 when the SPX is down for five straight days and the…...

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Charting RIMM’s Recent 50% Drop / The Power of Technicals (Part 2)

Starting now, we’re going to begin a series that shows recurring technical set-ups that offer material profit opportunities in compressed periods of time. In other words, great reward/risk trades. We’ll present these opportunities to folks subscribing to the premium / password-protected content…

Corn Update re: Yesterday’s Post – Is this Week of 7/9/88?

Yesterday we noted Corn’s recent price action had registered a 99th percentile event last week dating back to 1960 (something that had happened only 6 other times in history). We won’t rehash the details as you can read them here…....

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Corn Just Registered a 99th Percentile Event Dating back to 1960; Trading Opportunity at Hand?

Corn futures have now gapped open at least +1.50% vs. their prior week close in four of the past five weeks (i.e., at least 80% of time). Including this week’s signal, this has happened a mere seven times dating back…...

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Price Action Suggests Gold Miners in a Down-Trend/Bear Market; Next Stop ~15%-20% Lower?

There aren’t many places to hide these days. Short of bonds, the USD, staples, utilities and bio-techs, it’s tough to find favorable price action in much of anything. This is true too for the Gold Miners Index, presented on a monthly…...

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More Analysis Around the Potential for a Greek Exit / Drachma Reintroduction

A short while back we ran some detailed analysis on historical currency devaluation episodes and suggested that should Greece exit the Euro and reintroduce the Drachma, the time to buy Greek equities on a nominal basis would be at the time of…...

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