Semi Rally Now Faces Relative Resistance
I began advocating semi longs and over-weights beginning in June of last year. Since then and after breaking out from the long-term flag pattern b/t lines (1) and (2), the ratio of the SOX vs. SPX is up ~26%, all…...
CHFUSD Break-out Nearing (Gold Pull-Through?)
CHFUSD (solid) and gold (dash) are plotted on a monthly basis over time below. Few assets correlate more strongly, more consistently or for longer periods of time than these two have for decades. Post 2011 peak for CHFUSD the cross…...
Nike & Lebron: Ringing the Bell at the Top
There hasn’t been much good news for NKE shareholders subsequent to the 12/7/15 announcement that it had allegedly signed a life-time sponsorship deal with Lebron James for $1 billion. Indeed, they say nobody rings a bell at the top, but…
Bitcoin (Echoes of Precious Metals in 1978?)
As noted earlier when it was printing 1125, Bitcoin (XBT), now at 1175, has been in the process this week of breaking its former all-time weekly closing high of 1137 in Nov-13. The move completes a consolidation process off that…...
SPX Constituent Chart Dump
Let’s take a look at a collection of interesting-looking SPX constituent charts. All are focused on the bullish side of the fence. Companies are presented in chronological order by name. I went through all 500 companies in the index to…...
Thailand Attempting to Clear Nearly a Quarter-Century of Overhead Resistance
Below you’ll find Thailand’s SET Index attempting to clear nearly a quarter-century of over-head resistance this month, dating all the way back to Dec-93. The break-out above, assuming it holds through the remainder of the month, should dove-tail nicely with…...
Semis: Still More Room to Run
On 7/11/16 we outlined the case for a material and sustained upside move in semis, both on an absolute and relative basis vs. the broader market. We followed up that initial post with an update to the thesis on 8/10/16,…...
What More Would You Need?
What more would it take on the chart below for you to believe the belief that the risk/reward on CMG was skewed in your favor over the l-t? Good, l-t business that will presumably not only be around in 10,…...
European Equities Can Continue to Run, Out-Perform
In the chart below I plot the Stoxx600 over time. As of now the YoY has surged to ~+7% after spending the entirety of the past year in negative territory. If you follow the horizontal red line back through history…...
See What Sticks
I’m going to throw a lot of charts at this post and let’s see if we can find out what seems most likely to stick thematically, if anything at all, when we’re done. How about EM to start. When discussed…...