White Space

This post is not an impellent to purchase semi stocks – I’ve done that ad nauseam this year in the ‘Semiconductor’ category on the site. Instead, this post is an update to show that there is nothing but white space…...

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How Much Value in this Name?

Super-Valu? In the chart below SVU is breaking above resistance line (1) which has been in place since 2010. Coupled with a continued favorable back-drop for grocers, I wouldn’t be surprised if this break-out helps push the stock materially higher…...

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Significant Upside Remains for Equities over Remaining Few Years of Bull Market

I’ve updated the 4th-5th-6th consecutive annual gain analog below.  The 1988-1990 and 1994-1996 plots are DJI and the 2012-2014 plot is SPX. Note how closely these things continue to track.  Though the 2012-current plot had resembled 1988-1990 so closely for…...

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Reading the Tea Leaves

The reading industry has been universally loathed by the street for the better part of 15 years.  By reading I mean book retailing. The initial onslaught of abhorrence came during the late 90s during the emergence of the internet.  Web…...

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A Buyer of This Stock

Buy PTRY. In the chart below it has put in a place SWY/KR-looking flag/consolidation pattern since ~2005/2006. Though I’ve been watching this name for months now on my chart-radar, I’ve been reluctant to point it out as a) the pattern…...

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Clandestine Indian Bull Market

I’m embarrassed and quite disappointed in myself to have admit this, but I completely dropped the ball on India this year. Indian stocks have experienced a clandestine bull market this year, with the Sensex up an incredible +17% vs. ~+3.5%…...

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Palladium Coiling for a Large Run Higher?

On 3/5/14 I noted palladium had developed into what appeared to be a bullish looking pattern in the context of similar patterns that the metal had registered throughout history.  At the time palladium stood at ~$770 and we suggested being…...

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Signs Point to Additional Near-Term Downside in Riskier Assets

In the chart below I plot the R2K over the past few years along with the Dow from 1989-1991 as well as a plot of the recent price action of the VIX. At (A) the R2K put in a fairly…...

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Time Spent Waiting

It’s been approximately five months since we became ardent supporters of the idea that the Nikkei, following its initial sprint rally from fall 2012 into its May 2013 peak at 16K (an initial rally which we foresaw well before anybody…...

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Duration & Size Matter

As of right now the SPX has gone 652 days and has rallied 72% without witnessing at least a 10% correction.  This move dates back to the summer/fall 2011 mini-crash lows. In terms of duration/magnitude those represent 96th/89th percentile events…...

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