Technically speaking we recently noted gold has been battling its first real test of resistance since bottoming in May at $1,525. Specifically, gold has been battling its 61.8% retracement level formed b/t its 2011 highs and 2012 lows for the…...
The tape has felt incredibly heavy to us over the past few weeks since we peaked at SPX ~1,475 on 9/14 – most gains are quickly puked and we’re now down ~170 bps from that post QE-infinity euphoric level. There’s…
The chart below plots the ratio of AAPL vs. GOOG. As the ratio declines AAPL is under-performing GOOG. The ratio has recently completed a bearish H&S pattern and has broken below support line (1). It’s next major areas of support…
We’ve re-visited the case for airlines out-performing two times on this site. Our last post on 9/7 was the catalyst for initiating a long spread trade in the group with a corresponding short in the SPX. On 9/14, we then…...
I apologize but I don’t have a ton of incremental stuff to think about today. I re-present the 4th straight up year analog below to include today’s action in the Dow. As I noted earlier this week, numerous 4th straight…...
The chart below plots the ratio of the DJ Defense Index vs. the SPX. From its 2009 highs to its recent lows the ratio declined by ~40% as defense companies have under-performed the broader market materially. The decline in the…
We’ve discussed the idea of avoiding the transports in the recent past. We’ve also noted how their recent under-performance (~-1,000 bps vs. SPX over past year) is not necessarily a warning sign for the broader market. With these ideas in…...
One of the more compelling set-ups I’ve presented in a while when you think about it in the context of what we know / think we know and the recent rumors of a new Chinese stimulus plan! The chart below…...
Chart below shows the ratio of PANL vs. CREE and the DJT vs. SPX. PANL and CREE are competitors – suppliers to the flat panel/LCD TV industry. Note the ratio has reached long-term resistance and is putting in a pattern…...
Our progression on Nat Gas has gone from incredulity in June even as it had just rallied ~40%, to bullish a few weeks ago. In June we noted that despite a ~40% rally off its decade-long lows, the commodity had…...