Energy Commodities: The Juice Is Likely Worth the Squeeze
Per some emails at the end of Sep that highlighted the increased potential for such a move, crude has decisively broken above multi-year resistance recently. If you believe the WH/Fed/Russia feed-back loop theory – as I do – it’s not…...
Long Radio-active, Coal Finally Looks Attr-active on a Relative Basis
A long, long time ago in Aug-12 we wondered out loud if the world no longer needed coal. We went on to suggest a month later in Sep-12, mightily incorrectly we might add, that coal stocks could begin out-performing. Since both…...
Set-Up for Nat Gas Appears Favorable
In the simply chart below of Nat Gas we find that it sits atop trend-line (1) support dating back to 1998. Absent a single, brief breach of this support in 2012, line (1) has acted as a solid launching pad…...
22 Year Support at Hand for This Commodity
In the chart below I plot Nat Gas on a monthly basis. I’ve been very silent on this for quite awhile – there’s simply been nothing to do with the product. Having said that, the recent sell-off makes for a…...
What’s Green Today (Nat Gas a Safe Haven)?
Safe havens – gold, USD, Yen and U.S. bonds. Strangely enough though, so is Nat Gas. In fact, it’s the greenest thing on the screen. Coincidence when we find that in Cyrpus the government has promised to repay savers enduring…
Post Bubble Analog Update
Nat Gas appears to be officially breaking out on both a daily and weekly basis in the chart below. At the same time, Nat Gas appears very cheap at this juncture from its “bubble” peak in 2005 when it topped…...
Spread Trade Idea In Commodities
The ratio of Nat Gas vs. Silver is presented below. It fell 97% into 2012 from its high in 2006. As it did so it formed an ever-tightening, bullish descending wedge pattern b/t lines (1) and (2). In late 2012…...
Post Bubble Analog Suggests Housing Stocks Closer to Full Valuation than Nat Gas
In this post we highlight our post bubble analogs to see how close housing-related stocks and Nat Gas have come to lessening the valuation gap they’ve recently exhibited vs. where other bubbles have tended to trade some ~375-400 weeks after…...
As a Group, Coal Appears to be Breaking Out & Could Continue to Out-Perform
For some background on our thoughts on coal, please see these previous posts here and here. Since our original post on the group all the way back on August 9th, the DJ Coal Index has risen 22% vs. only a…
Nat Gas Going to $7 in Coming Months?
Our progression on Nat Gas has gone from incredulity in June even as it had just rallied ~40%, to bullish a few weeks ago. In June we noted that despite a ~40% rally off its decade-long lows, the commodity had…...