AAPL’s Run Highly Similar to Silver’s Parabolic Move; $1,000/$1 Trillion Cap Next?
Have attached two items to look at – one is a daily analog chart that compares the % increase in AAPL from January 2012 to current vs. the % increase SLV experienced from September 2010 to April 2011. These starting…...
Does Volatility Tell us anything about the Potential for a Sustained Move Higher?
If history holds, YES! And that probability is reasonably high. If the market meets certain qualifications today (most importantly, if the VIX closes < 17.8 and one other item) our proprietary “fear” and volatility-based market timing tool will have provided its first…...
Potential for Longer-Term Dollar Rally Could Cause Small Caps to Under-Perform
In the chart below the ratio of the R2K vs. SPX is presented in black. As the line increases small caps outperform large caps and vice versa. This ratio is plotted against the USD in red, which is inverted. Together,…...
Spread Trade Opportunity within Homebuilders
The ratio of HOV vs. XHB has reached resistance on the weekly charts while HOV itself faces resistance as well. The ratio of HOV vs. XHB which currently stands at ~0.125, is up ~55% from its lows this May of…...
NOK Down 95% from All-Time Highs, Is the Bleeding Over?
Does anybody remember how cutting edge this company used to be? This beauty was featured in one of the Matrix movies. At its lows last week following disappointing EPS results, NOK was down an incredible 95% from its all-time highs…...
Greek Equities Just Rallied 18%, Now What (How to Play a Euro Exit, if it Happens)?
Last week, Greek equities managed a single week, 18% rally off their lows from the previous week. NBG was even more impressive, up 50%. Who could have predicted such a massive rebound? Prices could have. As the chart below suggests,…...
Being Analytically Honest, Presenting the Other, More Bullish Case for Gold & Miners
Had an earlier post this morning on why gold was technically broken. So long as prices remain below the 12 month MA will continue to believe that the onus is on the metal to prove itself to the upside. That…...
Which One has the Correct Macro View?
Bonds or stocks? One of these is going to have egg on its face when this is all over. Longer-term, the 10 Yr UST is suggesting the fair value on the SPX is < 700. Is the 10 Yr UST correct or is…...
Long-Only Shops & Equities, Sittin’ In a Tree…
K-I-S-S-I-N-G… To say long only funds are in LOVE with equities here is an understatement. As of April month-end, mutual funds held less cash and more stocks than they ever had before – we’re talking 60 year lows on the…...
Price Action in Gold Suggests the Metal is Technically Broken, At Least For Now
The fundamental case for gold is quite clear as it pertains to ongoing global monetary/fiscal crises and the threat that central bank intervention/”money printing” leads to future runaway inflation. In fact, from a crisis-hedge standpoint, isn’t the world we live…...