6 Tuners & 6 Consecutive Weeks of Gains

6 Tuners & 6 Consecutive Weeks of Gains

TIVO’s most recent DVR, the Roamio, has been lauded over and over by important consumer electronics critics. One of its many features is that it has a total of six tuners, meaning a viewer can record six different shows simultaneously…....

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Quirkiness in the VOL Arena

Quirkiness in the VOL Arena

Chart below plots n-t VOL (VIX) vs. 3 mo VOL (VXV) on a ratio basis. As I type at 3:55 PM EST on 7/17/14 that ratio is printing ~1.20.  Note that in the chart below, via the horizontal green line,…...

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Buying this Mega-Cap Tech Stock

Buying this Mega-Cap Tech Stock

Very much in-line with our ongoing semi and MSFT thesis, be a buyer of CSCO. In the chart below the stock is breaking above ~13-yr resistance line (1) dating back to the early 00s. The height of the pattern formed…...

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Disparity b/t Multi-Year SPX Performance & EPS Growth Remains Acute, but When Will it Matter?

Disparity b/t Multi-Year SPX Performance & EPS Growth Remains Acute, but When Will it Matter?

In late December of last year I penned a piece detailing the increasingly massive disparity b/t SPX performance relative to the underlying EPS growth of the same index. In that post we filtered for periods in history dating back to…...

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Gold, Rarely a Rush

Gold, Rarely a Rush

We’ve had two posts on gold over the past few months, one in March and one this week. Both centered around the idea that the metal was either posed or had actually managed to close above its 12 month MA…...

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Gold Risk/Reward Set-up Remains Asymmetric

Gold Risk/Reward Set-up Remains Asymmetric

In March of this year I noted in this post that if gold was able to close that month > $1,320 it would have also closed above its 12-month MA for the first time in at least a year (16…...

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30 Yr Support on the Long Bond & Its Cycle-Defining History

30 Yr Support on the Long Bond & Its Cycle-Defining History

In the chart below I plot the 30-yr UST price from the early 1980s onward. Note how well-behaved prices are along support line (1) which has been in place since 1985, or nearly 30 years ago! In fact, it is…...

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A Quick, but Compelling Set of Triangulated Data Points

Haven’t had a ton to write about lately in a formalized fashion on the site.  Most all of our ideas are working so far this year, which is nice. I think I’ve mentioned this before, but if there’s anything I’ve…...

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BKS Update

BKS Update

On 5/28 we advocated long positions in BKS based on both a favorable fundamental and technical backdrop. With today’s news re: the planned split of the NOOK media and book retail businesses, the stock is up an impressive ~10%, putting…...

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Under-Performance in Apparel/Clothing/Accessories Industry to Continue

Under-Performance in Apparel/Clothing/Accessories Industry to Continue

LULU cut guidance this morning and finds its stock down ~15% today.  This is hardly the extent of the pain this name has suffered though as it’s down 55% since its 2012/2013 peak of ~$80. All we have to say…...

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