Gold Risk/Reward Set-up Remains Asymmetric
In March of this year I noted in this post that if gold was able to close that month > $1,320 it would have also closed above its 12-month MA for the first time in at least a year (16…...
Palladium Coiling for a Large Run Higher?
On 3/5/14 I noted palladium had developed into what appeared to be a bullish looking pattern in the context of similar patterns that the metal had registered throughout history. At the time palladium stood at ~$770 and we suggested being…...
Time Spent Waiting
It’s been approximately five months since we became ardent supporters of the idea that the Nikkei, following its initial sprint rally from fall 2012 into its May 2013 peak at 16K (an initial rally which we foresaw well before anybody…...
Silver Breakdown?
On 2/19/14 we used some robust historical stats on gold to suggest a position in the PM space w/ related miner exposure. At the time gold stood at ~$1,320 and silver ~$21.50, resulting in ~3% and 12% losses, respectively if…...
Last Piece of Resistance In Way of More Upside for this Metal
Suggested buying Palladium on 3/5 due to what appeared to be a break-out from a flag/pennant pattern. At the same time, also suggested PAL which declined and force-stopped the position (as discussed in an email this was to be 1/4…...
Key Breakdowns
I’ve got two simple technical charts below. One is the SSEC and the other copper, both on a weekly basis. The SSEC is on the cusp of breaking down from major long-term patterns including the flag formed b/t lines (1a)…...
Gold Offers Favorable Risk/Reward Set-Up, But in Which Direction?
A few weeks ago on 2/19/14 we made a high conviction call to buy gold and related miners. Our thesis in that post was based on two historically bullish price action characteristics that the metal was then exhibiting including: Gold…...
PM/FX Crossroads
Fairly simple chart today with fairly straightforward conclusions. Below you’ll find that gold and the USD are at critical crossroads with the former/latter facing two-year resistance/support. The USDs chart is particularly intriguing to the extent that the support line in…...
How Much Upside/Downside in This Commodity?
Be a buyer of palladium. If you don’t trade futures, that’s the PALL ETF, which has decent liquidity. Your initial upside target for the metal is ~50%, to $1,150 from the current ~$770. The logic for being bullish this metal…...
The Conundrum that Remains Gold?
With its 2/13/14 close of $1,302 gold managed to close above its 200 day moving average (MA) for the first time since 2/8/13, or for the first time in over a year. Dating back as far as I have daily…...