Could Palladium Weakness Spell Similar Trouble for Equities?
In an earlier post this week we displayed palladium’s ostensible break below multi-year, long-term trend-line support and suggested that break-down would be apt to precipitate accelerated downside in the commodity, as similar break-downs had in the past. Today we present…...
Palladium Beginning a Very Large Decline
In the chart below each of (A)-(D) have seen palladium break through muli-year trend-line support, thus ushering in quick, precipitous declines in the commodity when they’ve occurred. I believe a similar such break-down is occurring this week atop line (E)…...
Yen Has Reached Multi-Decade Support
In the monthly chart below the Japanese Yen has reached multi-decade support lines (1) and (2) after breaking down in the past two weeks from the bearish-looking flag/consolidation pattern we had recently highlighted in this post. Line (2) dates to…...
Clubber Lang May Finally Be Ready to Fight
On 7/29/14 we highlighted Mr. T as an increasingly attractive long. At the time we didn’t openly advocate an immediate position in the name, but said the following: “Would look to purchase T on a break-out this week assuming it…...
Continue to Favor Telco Equipment & With It a New Long Idea in the Industry
Late last year on 12/23 we had a post that suggested the DJ Telco Equipment Index would be a source of relative out-performance vs. the SPX in 2015. Our proxy for that call, the IGN ETF, has delivered +725 bps…...
Consolidation of Important FX Cross Nearing Conclusion
We’ve discussed the prospects for and likelihood of Yen weakness going back to summer 2012 and our general belief here has been a simple one: so long as reflation is and remains the core pillar of Abenomics, so too must the…...
Nikkei Short-Termism (Part 2)
I wanted to build off the simple short-termist statistical analysis on the Nikkei posted earlier today with a similar analog/technical round-up on the index as well. What we’re trying to do today is tie our short-term views on the index…...
U.S. Equity VOL Set to Decline
In the chart below VIX futures are breaking down from a ~one-year flag pattern formed b/t lines (1) and (2) on a daily basis. Presumably, this implies U.S.-based equity VOL is set to fall over the near to intermediate-term. At…...
4 Years of Biotech Relative Outperformance Appears to Have Run its Course
We’ve been bullish on biotech for a long, long time dating back to summer 2012 in posts outlined here and here. Despite many calling for tops in the space for quite some time, I’ve been reticent to do so, outlining…...
Something Amiss in Gold
This past weekend I pieced together this global macro & cycle post and in it, called out gold as one of a few commodities (along with crude) that appeared to have begun a renewed phase of downside. Specifically, I cited gold…...