The Case for Nikkei 40K in 2018

The Case for Nikkei 40K in 2018

In mid-October I updated my thinking on the Nikkei, asking in this post whether its break above quarter-century resistance meant it was finally “game-on” for the region’s much beleaguered equities after what seemed to be an enduring, generational secular bear…

Mid-Cycle Pause Analog Update: First Signs of Euphoria?

Mid-Cycle Pause Analog Update: First Signs of Euphoria?

Since I last updated my big-picture, mid-cycle pause analog framework for assessing US equities in mid-October in this post, optimism about Trump’s tax plan and its ability to successfully sail through Congress has mounted.  Tax-related optimism has begun to infect…...

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Trust: How Low Can you Go?

Trust: How Low Can you Go?

Occasionally I venture over to the Pew Research Center and review some of their polling data and related commentary covering a myriad of different issues of concern to US citizens.  Numerous Pew polls go back many decades, making some of…...

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Textbook Semi Reversal

Textbook Semi Reversal

We’ve written extensively in the past 18 months about the bullish case for owning and over-weighting semiconductor stocks. Our last semi-specific piece was from March of this year.  In it, we noted that the group had experienced a major relative…...

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Chart Dump

Chart Dump

I promised some constituent charts would emanate from the various industries I profiled earlier this week as areas of potential out-performance vs. the broader market. Recall from that post that I ended with the following: “In concluding, telco equipment, electronic…...

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