Up 18% in Less than Two Months, the Nikkei’s Ascent to 14K This Year Continues Unabated
On December 13th when the index was ~1,700 points lower, we noted in this post that the Nikkei was working on a rather important technical break-out. In that post we suggested the following: “…a break above line (1) would be…
Look to Under-Weight and/or Find Shorts in This Industry
I don’t like the Clothing & Accessories industry. I believe it and its constituents are prone to serious downside risks over the intermediate-term and should be under-weighted, avoided all together or shorted. The chart below shows the ratio of the…...
HHS Up Nearly 60% in Less than Two Months
On December 10th we put up a password-protected post with a title that alluded to a stock that was sitting on 20-year support and had a 6% dividend yield. In that post we highlighted HHS and the opportunity to “…rent,…
Transports Have Had a Great Run Since September, Now What?
I kind of dropped the ball on the Transports back in early October. In this post I highlighted the fact that I thought they’d continue to under-perform until the ratio of the DJ Transports vs. SPX fell to 3.2-3.3 vs…....
After a Brutal January, Gold Miners Approaching Support
The Arca Gold Miners Index is down over 10% thus far into January. Brutal indeed. That said, the index now finds itself at support line (1) below, where swing lows from 2010 and 2012 occurred. As it reaches this support…
Historical Cycle Analysis – What Type is This & Where Are We?
The chart below plots the Dow since the late 1800s and includes its four-year rate-of-change (RoC). Why do I plot the four-year RoC? Through history, bull cycles have lasted 48 months on average, or four years. As such, I thought…...
The AAPL Experience Highlights the Zero-Sum Nature of Financial Markets
There’s a certain unnamed economic blogger out there that loves to highlight the following maxim in rejecting the “excess cash on the sidelines” argument so incessantly tossed around in the financial media as a data point supporting the likelihood of…
Equity Analog Update
1987 vs. 2011 Crash Lows “Volatility” Analog 4th & 5th Consecutive Annual Gain Analog (including 1928) 4th & 5th Consecutive Annual Gain Analog (only 1988-1989 vs. 2012-2013)...
Surveying the Carnage in AAPL and its Evolving Set-Up
Was happy we could get this call so correct – both the top, how the initial sell-off was not to be bought and just over a week or so ago, the likelihood that the stock’s downside would soon accelerate, as it…...
Sentiment Round-Up
With the market’s incessant lurch higher of late it seems appropriate to do a sentiment round-up. I’m not going to editorialize the charts/data points below, but simply present them, with descriptions of what they are where appropriate, and let you…...