Repeating Pattern in the Arca Gold Miners Index at Hand

The Arca Gold Miners index appears to be completing a repeating pattern whereby the index tops out in a rounded reversal into a decent decline and then finds horizontal trend-line support. At such support the index has historically bounced materially…...

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Relative to Average Path other Assets Have Taken from Bubble Tops, Homebuilders, Despite 135% Rally, Remain Under-Valued

At the end of March 2012 I noted homebuilders appeared very under-valued vs. other bubbles at this juncture of their bubble peak price. I presented the chart below to justify this. Since that original post, the S&P Homebuilder Index has…...

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Bio-Tech & Pharma Working on Break-Outs

Both bio-techs and pharmaceuticals are working on quality, long-term technical break-outs in the charts below. The set-up in bio-tech is the most compelling given that the DJ Bio-tech index has already cleared all-time highs from 2000. Should it break its next…...

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Price Action Suggests Gold Miners in a Down-Trend/Bear Market; Next Stop ~15%-20% Lower?

There aren’t many places to hide these days. Short of bonds, the USD, staples, utilities and bio-techs, it’s tough to find favorable price action in much of anything. This is true too for the Gold Miners Index, presented on a monthly…...

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Low Beta Leaders @ Resistance; High Beta Laggards @ Support = Potential Inflection Point for Broader Risk Appetite

Below is quarter-to-date (QTD) performance across SPX sector ETFs. Leaders (lower beta and only sectors up QTD): 1) Utilities (+11%) 2) Healthcare (+7%) 3) Staples (+6%) 4) Consumer Disc (+1%) Laggards (higher beta): 1) Energy (-5%) 2) Financials (-4%) 3) Industrials…...

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Bio-Techs, a Leadership Group, Face Stiff Resistance (Same Resistance Faced at top of SPX Bear Market Retracement Rallies in 2001/2008)

Bio-Techs, a Leadership Group, Face Stiff Resistance (Same Resistance Faced at top of SPX Bear Market Retracement Rallies in 2001/2008)

Below is a table (via Finviz.com) that details YTD industry performance – biotech has been a standout YTD, up 22% and in 11th place out of all industries. That said, in the chart below the group’s YTD rally, via the DJ…...

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Spread Trade Opportunity within Homebuilders

The ratio of HOV vs. XHB has reached resistance on the weekly charts while HOV itself faces resistance as well. The ratio of HOV vs. XHB which currently stands at ~0.125, is up ~55% from its lows this May of…...

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Being Analytically Honest, Presenting the Other, More Bullish Case for Gold & Miners

Had an earlier post this morning on why gold was technically broken. So long as prices remain below the 12 month MA will continue to believe that the onus is on the metal to prove itself to the upside. That…...

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Airlines Successfully Clearing First Test of Resistance, More Upside in Play?

I know the airlines group is generally loathed. That said, in a post earlier this week it was noted that the group’s relative performance against the SPX has tracked the general decline in the USD for over a decade now and…...

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Euro Financials about to Out-perform Near-Term, Positively Boost Global Sentiment?

Euro Financials about to Out-perform Near-Term, Positively Boost Global Sentiment?

The ratio chart below of the DJ Euro Financials vs. the XLF suggests the former could be reaching a support zone whereby they could out-perform the latter, at least in the very near-term. Ostensibly, such out-performance would likely be coupled…...

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