Before we can even consider this question one needs to have a heart-to-heart with themselves on one major issue… Do you believe domestic equities are still in a secular bear market? If you do, continue on.  If not, there’s going…...

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Prices are all that matter. And as far as the R2K is concerned, price action in recent history has been anything but bullish. This view is largely expressed through the slope of the index’s 12 month moving average (MA). I…...

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Last week the Aussie $ broke down from a multi-month consolidation pattern, the bottom of which was formed by line (1).  After reclaiming the line earlier this week, it has once again broke below such support. Such break-downs from consolidation…...

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As of this week, the USD is breaking trend-line resistance dating back to the early part of the last decade at line (1) below.  Ostensibly, this represents a trend change of some proportion – bull market beginnings, bear market endings. The…...

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The ratio b/t the 10 Yr UST price and SPX has been enormously valuable in calling cycle or temporary cyclical tops in the  latter since 2007. In fact, the ratio successfully called the 2007 cycle top and the numerous 2011 cyclical tops…...

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Who's Who of Poor Places to be Long Over Past 12 Years

Filtered for the existence of all of the following at any given time dating back to the late 90s: VIX b/t 18.5-25.5 VIX one month RoC > 20% SPX one month RoC < -5% SPX one year RoC < 0%…...

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