The RSI on the 60 min SPY chart has only been this elevated, whether it be euphoria or something else, 4x over the past year. Once was in early July 2011 when Greece managed to secure a release of bailout…...

Member only content: Login to view or Register

On October 3, 2011 when the SPX closed at 1,100, investors in the Rydex family of funds had nearly $1.60 invested in money market fund vehicles for every $1.00 invested in long or sector-based equity mutual funds. In effect, cash balances…...

Member only content: Login to view or Register

Have attached two items to look at – one is a daily analog chart that compares the % increase in AAPL from January 2012 to current vs. the % increase SLV experienced from September 2010 to April 2011. These starting…...

Member only content: Login to view or Register

If history holds, YES!  And that probability is reasonably high. If the market meets certain qualifications today (most importantly, if the VIX closes < 17.8 and one other item) our proprietary “fear” and volatility-based market timing tool will have provided its first…...

Member only content: Login to view or Register
Potential for Longer-Term Dollar Rally Could Cause Small Caps to Under-Perform

In the chart below the ratio of the R2K vs. SPX is presented in black. As the line increases small caps outperform large caps and vice versa. This ratio is plotted against the USD in red, which is inverted. Together,…...

Member only content: Login to view or Register

The ratio of HOV vs. XHB has reached resistance on the weekly charts while HOV itself faces resistance as well. The ratio of HOV vs. XHB which currently stands at ~0.125, is up ~55% from its lows this May of…...

Member only content: Login to view or Register

Does anybody remember how cutting edge this company used to be?  This beauty was featured in one of the Matrix movies. At its lows last week following disappointing EPS results, NOK was down an incredible 95% from its all-time highs…...

Member only content: Login to view or Register

Last week, Greek equities managed a single week, 18% rally off their lows from the previous week.  NBG was even more impressive, up 50%. Who could have predicted such a massive rebound? Prices could have. As the chart below suggests,…...

Member only content: Login to view or Register

Had an earlier post this morning on why gold was technically broken. So long as prices remain below the 12 month MA will continue to believe that the onus is on the metal to prove itself to the upside. That…...

Member only content: Login to view or Register

Bonds or stocks? One of these is going to have egg on its face when this is all over. Longer-term, the 10 Yr UST is suggesting the fair value on the SPX is < 700. Is the 10 Yr UST correct or is…...

Member only content: Login to view or Register