Time to Get Short-Term Bearish on the Nikkei?

Color me ridiculous for putting up a post like this (it’s basically the inverse equivalent of a bullish post on a stock that’s down 90% and headed for BK that’s shown no abatement in downside), but whatever. The set-up in…...

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Industry About to Deliver a Dose of Pain or Gain?

Ratio of the DJ Drug Retailer Index vs. SPX below. Continue to believe this ascending triangle pattern is of the bullish variety (typically is) and that this group is about to break-out and sustainably out-perform the market. Individually, here are…...

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What to Do with Cotton?

Had this post on cotton back in July which I thought was a quality piece of work. Bought a little back then, but not much as we planned on getting it bigger at 60, which was a price it failed…...

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Is it Too Late to Short the Yen?

Not in my mind. My earlier post today on the Nikkei/Yen showed that their current respective 26 week RoC is as positive/negative (most upper-left) as it’s ever been. As I pointed out, the only time in history where the scatter-plot…...

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Post Bubble Analog Update

Nat Gas appears to be officially breaking out on both a daily and weekly basis in the chart below. At the same time, Nat Gas appears very cheap at this juncture from its “bubble” peak in 2005 when it topped…...

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Something Major is Afoot in Japan

Scatter of 26 week RoC in NKK vs. Yen. Last two weeks red – most upper left print in data set. Other prints in this area of the quadrant were Oct-Dec 95 as NKK was printing 10300-10400 – had ~6-8…...

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Perspective on the Nikkei's Amazing Run

If the Nikkei finishes up on the week it will have posted gains in 18 of the past 20 weeks, or 90% of the time. Dating back to the 1800s, that’s never happened on the Dow. It happened on the…

Spread Trade Idea In Commodities

The ratio of Nat Gas vs. Silver is presented below. It fell 97% into 2012 from its high in 2006. As it did so it formed an ever-tightening, bullish descending wedge pattern b/t lines (1) and (2). In late 2012…...

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33 Year Resistance

At hand in the chart below is 33 year resistance. What is the asset in the chart? What happens if resistance is broken to the upside? Believe this chart has very important global risk appetite implications.

Is James Glassman Really That Crazy, Why the Dow Potentially Has 60%-170% More Upside & Why Contrary to Michael Moore's Views, Markets & Capitalism Worked Better Than Ever in Facilitating the Sub-Prime Crisis

Does anybody remember James Glassman? He’s that crazy guy who published this book in 1999 claiming the Dow would eclipse the 36K mark in ~three-five years. Turns out his earlier prediction wasn’t so correct.  That doesn’t mean the guy doesn’t…