What Sectors & Industries Are Likely to Out or Under-Perform Moving Forward?
Please refer to my post yesterday on commodities under-performing on a relative basis over the past week despite the Fed’s pledge for infinite QE. Next refer to this post, which further emphasizes my general belief that commodities et. al under-perform moving…...
Downside in Grains Set to Accelerate?
As you know, we’ve been reasonably bearish on this group dating back to July, with most of that focus being on corn, as these posts here and here highlight for background. In fact, on August 10, when corn was 7% higher,…...
Did Yesterday’s Open-Ended QE Announcement by the Fed Usher in a New Reflationary Wave?
The chart below shows the SPX on a weekly basis. Line (1) represents what we believe to be the market/economy’s most important line in the sand since 1987 – an on/off switch if you will. Why? This line is where…
CAD$ at Resistance & Bulls At All-Time High
The chart below shows the CAD$ at resistance line (1) with crude facing resistance line (2). At the same time the % of the public that is bullish the CAD$ is now at ~85%, an all-time high rivaled only in…...
Any Chance the Draghi Put is Now Priced Into the Euro & Corresponding Risk Assets in the Near-Term?
All the way back on July 10th we highlighted the fact that the Euro sat on very critical support levels when it stood at ~1.21, some 600 bps lower than the current ~1.29. We noted that if one were risk-asset bullish…
GOOG’s Day in the Sun is Likely Arriving with $1,000 in the Cards
Even as AAPL has risen some ~225% from its highs in 2007 GOOG shares are still DOWN 3% after peaking in the same year. We believe GOOG’s fortunes are in the process of changing as is the market’s perception of…
Coal Stocks are Up 13% Since Our Last Post on the Group
On August 9th we highlighted how oversold coal stocks were, with the DJ Coal Index down ~75% from its highs in 2011. We noted that similar sell-offs in the past have led to material rallies in the group. With the…
Technicals & Seasonals Suggest iPhone 5 Release Could Disappoint AAPL Investors
Chart below shows AAPL on a daily basis. On a more granular basis at inset (A) the stock appears to have broken down from a mild ascending wedge pattern yesterday formed by lines (1) and (2). On a longer-term basis at…...
Do Transports Always Have to Out-Perform to Confirm Overall Market Strength?
Much has been made of the recent under-performance in the DJ Transportation Index vs. the broader market as of late. However, as the chart below details, there is no tablet carved in stone with the words “Transports must always out-perform…
As the World Remains Enamored with China and the SSEC, Malaysian Equities are at All-Time Highs
The chart below is the Malaysian KLSE Compsosite index. It correlates quite will with the EWM ETF. In the chart below we can see the index has broken trend-line resistance (1) and is registering new all-time highs. It is currently in the…...