The chart below highlights the ratio of the DJ Basic Resources Index vs. SPX. Note the secular rise in the ratio from 2002-2008 indicating the ongoing strength of the secular bull market in basic resources, commodities and emerging markets/infrastructure growth….
We apologize in advance for simply regurgitating a piece of SentimenTrader analysis. Sure enough, it’s a cop-out to do so and a highly unoriginal, non value-added exercise. That said, every once in awhile it’s worth passing along. On Friday they pointed…
Let’s continue to beat a dead horse. Is gold a bubble? If so, did the bubble run end in September 2011 when gold peaked around ~$1,900? We know that thus far, if gold was a bubble and the run ended…...
On 1/26 we said the following about AAPL: “In concluding, I want us to be buyers of AAPL. I would consider a small position now (analog suggests a low in this area) and a much larger position if and when…...
Figured I would simply dump and update all the various equity analog sets we’ve been using for the past 6-9 months in one post so that collectively, they could paint a broad picture of the macro landscape. 4th & 5th…...
Look at the analog below. The black line is the Dow, 2012-2013YTD. We refrain from revealing what the red line is and why it makes sense to compare it to the black one. However, do they get more compelling than…
Huge decline in JCP today. However, lines (1) and (2), the stock’s most relevant long-term support zones, remain decently lower. Line (2) is a whole 35% lower! If line (2) gives, don’t be surprised to concurrently see increasing doubts surrounding…
This post looks at bull market cycle lengths through history. We define length as follows: 1) Cycle begins when Dow YoY goes to positive territory (at least +5%) from negative on a monthly basis 2) Cycle ends when Dow YoY goes…...
I’m buying sugar. I present the CoT report which shows commercial with its largest net long since 2008 and one of its largest net longs ever. The inverse is true for large specs. Small specs have their largest net short…...
Take a look at the rolling 10 year average P/E ratio on the SPX below. It current stands at ~22.5x. What do you notice? Why has this level been so important in the context of history? Why is it that…...