24-Year Support at Hand for This Ratio

24-Year Support at Hand for This Ratio

The ratio of the Yen vs. Nikkei is at 24-year support line (1) below.  Additionally, line (2) support is at hand.  I would note that line (1) was not hit in May when the Nikkei peaked at 16K. Line (1)…...

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For this Relic of the Past...Upside?

For this Relic of the Past…Upside?

Dating back to February, when JCP stood at $20, we suggested it was a dangerous falling knife with plenty more downside to go. Nearly four months ago on 8/1 I then criticized both JCP and SHLD as being relics of retail’s glory…...

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Lower-Risk/Higher-Reward Spread Trade Idea Useful for Those Looking to Deploy Excess Cash Balances

Lower-Risk/Higher-Reward Spread Trade Idea Useful for Those Looking to Deploy Excess Cash Balances

In the following chart we show the ratio of the Nikkei vs. gold.  Into its 2012/2013 low of ~5, this ratio had fallen ~90% from its 2000-era high of ~70.  However, upon hitting 12.38 last week, note the ratio has…...

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Though Down 30% in a Year, More Declines Likely in This Ratio

Though Down 30% in a Year, More Declines Likely in This Ratio

Since our 11/14  post highlighting the likelihood that the Nikkei would not experience another short-term, 20% decline and would instead begin to rally sustainably again into our long standing 45K-50K target, the index has rallied 450 bps.  By comparison, the…...

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Gold & Related Miners...Will the Bloodletting Ever Cease?

Gold & Related Miners…Will the Bloodletting Ever Cease?

We’ve spent a significant amount of time on silver over the past year on this site, largely at the expense of gold. We harbor no bias against gold, we’ve simply not seen any noteworthy set-ups from which to develop a…...

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Revisiting an Old Long Opportunity

Revisiting an Old Long Opportunity

On 2/20/13 we had a post on MWW. It was one that was available to the public so we removed the name/price info of the stock in question in that post and revealed it only via email. At the time…...

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"Analysts Wary as Reform Euphoria Sweeps China Markets"

“Analysts Wary as Reform Euphoria Sweeps China Markets”

So goes the title of an article at the FT.com today regarding the massive overnight rally in Chinese equities that sent the SSEC and Shenzhen indices up ~287 and 218 bps, respectively. I absolutely love seeing items like this –…...

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+65% in Five Weeks

+65% in Five Weeks

Five weeks ago, on 10/8, we highlighted SYUT when it traded @ ~$5.75. We used the post to note the stock’s favorable fundamental and technical back-drops. Since then SYUT shares have ripped ~65% higher to ~$9.55. And to fathom, in…...

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Fundamental Back Drop At All-Time Lows + Favorable Technical Set-up

Fundamental Back Drop At All-Time Lows + Favorable Technical Set-up

Back on 8/1 we suggested mobile home manufacturers like SKY would begin working. That thesis was based on the following: SKY’s absolute performance (material decline) and relative performance vs. the SPX (material decline) mirrored the trading path of the decline…...

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Onward & Upward for the Nikkei?

Onward & Upward for the Nikkei?

As of this morning the U.S.-traded Nikkei futures contract is breaking out from an ascending triangle pattern.  This can be seen in the chart on the right. Such patterns tend to be bullish.  And, while we suggested the potential for…...

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