Airlines Under-Perform by 10% on the Week…Are Silly Little Lines the Only Things That Matter?
There are plenty of people out there on the intra-webs (far more intelligent than us, no doubt) that spend their days opining on the virtues of why it’s essential for our financial-souls and well-being that we understand the inner workings…
GE May Provide Excellent Read-Throughs to Future Risk Appetite in the Broader Market
Present the Dow below with a large inset of the ratio of GE vs. the SPX. Note that the ratio of GE vs. SPX has tended to trade in a sideways, cyclical channel since the 1970s as defined by lines…...
Repeating Pattern in Silver
In the chart below I present silver, inverted, on a monthly basis. I inverted the chart to mess your head up. By doing so, you can’t look at it with the preconceived notions and biases you already had; it’s nearly…...
Up 43% in Eight Months, What Next for Bio-techs?
All the way back on July 16th we began building a strong bullish case for out-performance in bio-techs. The group is up 43% since then. Along with airlines, I would say bio-tech/healthcare was the group we focused the most amount…...
Recent Carnage in Grains Historically Indicative of Sustained, Multi-Year Commodity Bear Markets
Historically, three-day declines of at least 13% in corn as we’ve just witnessed with today’s decline, are indicative of: 1) multi-year corn bear markets 2) multi-year commodity bear-markets per the CRB Commodities are in a bear market and are likely…...
Recent Nikkei Price Action Rare in Context of Nearly 120 Years of Dow Trading History
The Nikkei gained 19.3% in 1Q13. Impressive, no doubt. How impressive? Since the late 1890s the Dow has had only 11 quarters where it’s gained at least 19%, making such occurrences a 2.4/100 event. I present those instances in the…...
Philippine PSE Composite Portending Heightened Global Instability Again?
The Philippine PSE Composite faces material long-term resistance lines (1) and (2) in the chart below. It’s been at these lines where the Asian financial crisis of 1997 began, where the U.S. tech bubble explosion accelerated in 2000 and where…...
Mega-Cap Consumer Index Faces Significant Long-Term Resistance
The Morgan Stanley Consumer Index faces significant resistance in the chart below represented by line (1), which dates back 15 years, as well as 161.8% Fib expansion resistance formed off its 2007 highs and 2009 lows. This index is composed…
Additional Historical Data to Clarify Cycle Type & Location
Last week SentimenTrader had a nice little piece detailing other periods in history where the SPX had gone at least five years before registering a new 10-year high as it did on Thursday. Thursday’s signal was the fourth in history…....
Where’s the Next Great Bull Market?
The first chart below plots the relative value of the Mid-Cap 400 Value Index vs. SPX from 2000-October 2002. This was the bear market coming off the heels of the tech bubble. As the chart suggests – the SPX was…