Silver Shorts?
As of last week silver managed its ninth consecutive weekly gain. The last time it closed with a weekly loss was during the week of Xmas, or 12/23/16. Over the course of its 9 week streak it rallied ~17%, closing…
Bitcoin (Echoes of Precious Metals in 1978?)
As noted earlier when it was printing 1125, Bitcoin (XBT), now at 1175, has been in the process this week of breaking its former all-time weekly closing high of 1137 in Nov-13. The move completes a consolidation process off that…...
SPX Constituent Chart Dump
Let’s take a look at a collection of interesting-looking SPX constituent charts. All are focused on the bullish side of the fence. Companies are presented in chronological order by name. I went through all 500 companies in the index to…...
Thailand Attempting to Clear Nearly a Quarter-Century of Overhead Resistance
Below you’ll find Thailand’s SET Index attempting to clear nearly a quarter-century of over-head resistance this month, dating all the way back to Dec-93. The break-out above, assuming it holds through the remainder of the month, should dove-tail nicely with…...
Semis: Still More Room to Run
On 7/11/16 we outlined the case for a material and sustained upside move in semis, both on an absolute and relative basis vs. the broader market. We followed up that initial post with an update to the thesis on 8/10/16,…...
2012 Redux: Surging US Price Momentum Suggests 90%+ Chance the DJI Will Be Higher in a Year
On 8/15/12 I penned a piece that suggested the DJI had a 90%+ (91% to be exact) probability of being higher one year out with a median expected gain of ~15%. The nuts and bolts of that summer-2012 analysis and…...
EM Secular Bear Remains, but Large Cyclical Rally Likely in Early Innings
Emerging markets, via MXEF (MSCI EM Index), peaked in Oct-07 at ~1,300. Today, some ~480 weeks and over nine years later, it stands at ~887, or 32% below its Oct-07 high. Throughout the entirety of that elapsed time period MXEF…...
What More Would You Need?
What more would it take on the chart below for you to believe the belief that the risk/reward on CMG was skewed in your favor over the l-t? Good, l-t business that will presumably not only be around in 10,…...
European Equities Can Continue to Run, Out-Perform
In the chart below I plot the Stoxx600 over time. As of now the YoY has surged to ~+7% after spending the entirety of the past year in negative territory. If you follow the horizontal red line back through history…...
See What Sticks
I’m going to throw a lot of charts at this post and let’s see if we can find out what seems most likely to stick thematically, if anything at all, when we’re done. How about EM to start. When discussed…...