Is the "Reach for Yield" Trade in Riskier Areas Going to Get Hurt by Rising Risk-Free Rates?

Is the “Reach for Yield” Trade in Riskier Areas Going to Get Hurt by Rising Risk-Free Rates?

No matter where you turn you can read about the global “reach for yield” game that’s being played by investors, institutional and retail alike, as they attempt to generate income in riskier asset classes with “higher” yields to circumvent the…...

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Spread Trade Idea in Commodities Could Offer 50% Upside

Spread Trade Idea in Commodities Could Offer 50% Upside

The ratio of palladium vs. silver is plotted below. The ratio is breaking out from a near decade-old consolidation pattern formed by lines (2) and (3). The logical upside target for the ratio is ~0.45x or nearly 50% higher. This…...

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More Yen Downside or is 25% in Six Months Enough?

More Yen Downside or is 25% in Six Months Enough?

In the chart below the Yen appears to be breaking straight through critical 23.6% Fib retracement support (1985 lows / 1995 highs). This level, or ~1.00, is also parity level with the USD and a place of numerous important swing…...

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How to Catch TSLA-like Moves Before They Occur

How to Catch TSLA-like Moves Before They Occur

In the past three months TSLA shares have doubled. How does one catch a move like that before it occurs? Well, there’s never so much as a guarantee in the markets, but silly little lines can help, or at least…

Potential for a 50% Rally in This Stock is Rising

Potential for a 50% Rally in This Stock is Rising

Note the stock below is working on a break above line (2) which represents its 23.6% Fib resistance formed off its recent highs and lows.  This resistance, as indicated by the red arrows, has been formidable for the stock  over…

Analog Update

Analog Update

Haven’t updated analogs in a while so this will be an exhaustive attempt at that. 1) 4th & 5th Consecutive Annual Gain – All ex 1928/1929 – Dow 1A) 4th & 5th Consecutive Annual Gain – 1988/1989 vs. 2012/2013 –…...

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Nikkei Faces Critical Resistance, What Would a Break Above Do?

Nikkei Faces Critical Resistance, What Would a Break Above Do?

As we’ve said all along, 14K seemed like a likely upside target for the Nikkei this year. Now that we’re there, what do we do? To be honest, we’ve not been sure and have vacillated back/forth b/t a new secular bull beginning…...

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Bullish Looking Technical Set-Ups in This Industry

Bullish Looking Technical Set-Ups in This Industry

Below are some interesting technical set-ups in semiconductor related names. Have been struggling to find many such set-ups across the market/industry landscape of late, but those below reasonably appealing (some more than others). The larger-cap ones are likely the best…...

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Market Nearly Perfectly on Track to Deliver 15% Median, One-Year Gain as Suggested Last August

Market Nearly Perfectly on Track to Deliver 15% Median, One-Year Gain as Suggested Last August

On August 15 last year in this post we noted that if the market closed that week above 12,982 there was a 91% chance it would be higher one year later, with a median expected gain of 15%. The market closed…

The USD's Next Likely Move is...?

The USD’s Next Likely Move is…?

In the chart below the USD is testing line (2) resistance. This line is important – the USD has spent all but three of the past 27 years below it, excluding 1999-2002. Moreover, the line has sent the USD retreating…...

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